Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.448395 0.492464 0.539707 0.594240 0.655602 0.722685 0.801800
2025-11-02 0.378911 0.440605 0.511505 0.599541 0.706646 0.833648 0.997014
2025-11-09 0.330113 0.398300 0.480307 0.587218 0.724405 0.896580 1.132287
2025-11-16 0.302484 0.376062 0.467904 0.592579 0.759926 0.980452 1.299300
2025-11-23 0.277091 0.353059 0.450840 0.588144 0.779608 1.042735 1.441829
2025-11-30 0.259131 0.337493 0.441168 0.591289 0.808088 1.117911 1.609595
2025-12-07 0.240229 0.318757 0.425124 0.583278 0.818762 1.167100 1.742790
2025-12-14 0.224094 0.302378 0.410691 0.575677 0.828347 1.214312 1.877082
2025-12-21 0.206417 0.282469 0.389596 0.556156 0.817451 1.227828 1.956521
2025-12-28 0.199063 0.276731 0.388357 0.565989 0.852426 1.316934 2.174651
2026-01-04 0.191720 0.270421 0.385656 0.573045 0.883135 1.401540 2.395515
2026-01-11 0.184138 0.263203 0.380968 0.576349 0.907566 1.477403 2.609971
2026-01-18 0.176686 0.255857 0.375780 0.578725 0.931144 1.555206 2.841785
2026-01-25 0.170404 0.249936 0.372417 0.583810 0.959846 1.645419 3.112719
2026-02-01 0.161005 0.238571 0.359620 0.571878 0.956896 1.675782 3.262779
2026-02-08 0.155899 0.233700 0.356964 0.577070 0.985427 1.769345 3.564190
2026-02-15 0.149320 0.226077 0.349283 0.572775 0.995650 1.827501 3.794934
2026-02-22 0.144616 0.221237 0.345906 0.575820 1.019978 1.916711 4.113062
2026-03-01 0.138292 0.213391 0.336975 0.568062 1.022365 1.960052 4.326660
2026-03-08 0.132471 0.206100 0.328589 0.560701 1.024824 2.003640 4.548220
2026-03-15 0.125090 0.195848 0.314544 0.541792 1.002189 1.989575 4.616777
2026-03-22 0.122808 0.194164 0.315421 0.551317 1.039175 2.113541 5.080127
2026-03-29 0.120216 0.191808 0.314949 0.558152 1.071024 2.229438 5.544875